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public · ai application

BigBear.ai

AI-driven data analytics and decision intelligence company serving national security, defense, and complex supply chain markets.

Bubble risk estimate

72/100

Confidence: low

Value evidence

28/100

Checked: 2026-07-30

Coverage

Ticker: BBAI

Market type: public

Confidence: low

Scores are provisional research estimates, not price targets or recommendations.

Source-backed signals

BigBear.ai
Risk uprevenue

BigBear.ai revenue continues to shrink with 20% decline and mounting losses

$127M TTM revenue, -20% YoY

BigBear.ai reported approximately $127 million in trailing twelve-month revenue, a 20% year-over-year decline, with net losses of $289 million and significant share dilution as outstanding shares increased 68% year-over-year.

Why it mattersBigBear.ai represents the weakest fundamental profile among tracked AI stocks: declining revenue, expanding losses, aggressive dilution, and a P/S ratio of 9x on shrinking sales. The company's reliance on government contracts introduces concentration risk, and its $1.2 billion market cap appears difficult to justify on current fundamentals.

Source: StockAnalysis · Published 2026-07-22 · Checked 2026-07-30 · Confidence: low